Regionalization of the Mortality Risk from Cardiomyopathy and Respiratory Diseases Based on the Maximum Entropy Model
Por:
Ordoñez-Sierra, R, Domínguez-Cortinas, G, Hernández-Paniagua, IY, Expósito-Castillo, JL, Gómez-Albores, MA, Rodríguez-Reyes, MG, Carrasco-Gallegos, BV, Manzano-Solís, LR
Publicada:
20 ago 2024
Resumen:
This research presents a time-series study in one of the most polluted regions in Mexico, the southern part of the Mezquital Valley. Three mortality causes related to areas highly contaminated by industrial activities were considered to carry out this model, namely, ischemic cardiomyopathy, mesothelioma, and pneumoconiosis. The pollutant exposure factors used in the maximum entropy modeling were distance to rivers, distance to industries, particulate matter less than 2.5 microns (PM < 2.5 m), and the digital elevation model (DEM). A model that expresses the presence of the disease by areas of exposure to pollutants was also obtained. In addition, the odds ratio was calculated to evaluate the level of association of ischemic cardiomyopathy (OR = 3.37 and 95% CI: 3.05-3.6) and mesothelioma (OR = 4.79 and 95% CI: 3.5-6.08) by areas of exposure. In the case of pneumoconiosis, only cases in the very high exposure category were recorded, so it was not comparable with the remaining areas. It is important to mention that particulate matter in the municipalities of the Mezquital Valley presented values above 20 mu g/m(3) and that in accordance with the provisions of the Norma Oficial Mexicana de Salud Ambiental or NOM (translated as Mexican Official Standard for Environmental Health) and the Agency for Toxic Substances and the Disease Registry (ATSDR), high concentrations of particulate matter can have a severe impact on the development of some diseases. In the studied area, ischemic cardiomyopathy and mesothelioma were attributed to pollution in 70.3% and 79.1%, respectively; therefore, pollution mitigation could prevent the occurrence of these two diseases.
Filiaciones:
Univ Autonoma Estado Mexico, Inst Interamericano Tecnol & Ciencias Agua, Carretera Toluca Atlacomulco Km 14-5, Toluca 50200, Estado De Mexic, Mexico
Univ Autonoma Estado Mexico, Fac Geog, Toluca 50110, Estado De Mexic, Mexico
Univ Autonoma San Luis Potosi, San Luis Potosi 78210, Mexico
Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico, Inst Ciencias Atmosfera & Cambio Climat, Circuito Invest Cient s-n, Mexico City 04510, Mexico
gold, All Open Access; Gold Open Access
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