The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis


Por: Halupka L., Arlt D., Tolvanen J., Millon A., Bize P., Adamík P., Albert P., Arendt W.J., Artemyev A.V., Baglione V., Banbura J., Banbura M., Barba E., Barrett R.T., Becker P.H., Belskii E., Bolton M., Bowers E.K., Bried J., Brouwer L., Bukacinska M., Bukacinski D., Bulluck L., Carstens K.F., Catry I., Charter M., Chernomorets A., Covas R., Czuchra M., Dearborn D.C., de Lope F., Di Giacomo A.S., Dombrovski V.C., Drummond H., Dunn M.J., Eeva T., Emmerson L.M., Espmark Y., Fargallo J.A., Gashkov S.I., Golubova E.Y., Griesser M., Harris M.P., Hoover J.P., Jagiello Z., Karell P., Kloskowski J., Koenig W.D., Kolunen H., Korczak-Abshire M., Korpimäki E., Krams I., Krist M., Krüger S.C., Kuranov B.D., Lambin X., Lombardo M.P., Lyakhov A., Marzal A., Møller A.P., Neves V.C., Nielsen J.T., Numerov A., Orlowska B., Oro D., Öst M., Phillips R.A., Pietiäinen H., Polo V., Porkert J., Potti J., Pöysä H., Printemps T., Prop J., Quillfeldt P., Ramos J.A., Ravussin P.-A., Rosenfield R.N., Roulin A., Rubenstein D.R., Samusenko I.E., Saunders D.A., Schaub M., Senar J.C., Sergio F., Solonen T., Solovyeva D.V., Stepniewski J., Thompson P.M., Tobolka M., Török J., van de Pol M., Vernooij L., Visser M.E., Westneat D.F., Wheelwright N.T., Wiacek J., Wiebe K.L., Wood A.G., Wuczynski A., Wysocki D., Zárybnická M., Margalida A., Halupka K.

Publicada: 1 ene 2023
Categoría: Multidisciplinary

Resumen:
Climate change affects timing of reproduction in many bird species, but few studies have investigated its influence on annual reproductive output. Here, we assess changes in the annual production of young by female breeders in 201 populations of 104 bird species (N = 745,962 clutches) covering all continents between 1970 and 2019. Overall, average offspring production has declined in recent decades, but considerable differences were found among species and populations. A total of 56.7% of populations showed a declining trend in offspring production (significant in 17.4%), whereas 43.3% exhibited an increase (significant in 10.4%). The results show that climatic changes affect offspring production through compounded effects on ecological and life history traits of species. Migratory and larger-bodied species experienced reduced offspring production with increasing temperatures during the chick-rearing period, whereas smaller-bodied, sedentary species tended to produce more offspring. Likewise, multi-brooded species showed increased breeding success with increasing temperatures, whereas rising temperatures were unrelated to reproductive success in single-brooded species. Our study suggests that rapid declines in size of bird populations reported by many studies from different parts of the world are driven only to a small degree by changes in the production of young.

Filiaciones:
Halupka L.:
 Ornithological Station, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Wroclaw, Poland

Arlt D.:
 Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural SciencesUppsala SE 750 07, Sweden

 SLU Swedish Species Information Centre, Swedish University of Agricultural SciencesUppsala SE 750 07, Sweden

Tolvanen J.:
 Department of Ecology and Genetics, University of Oulu, Oulu, 90014, Finland

Millon A.:
 Aix Marseille University, University of Avignon, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD), France

 Groupe d'Etudes et de Protection des Busards (GepB), Beurville 52110, France

Bize P.:
 Swiss Ornithological Institute, Sempach CH, 6204, Switzerland

Adamík P.:
 Department of Zoology, Faculty of Science, Palacky University, Olomouc, 771 46, Czech Republic

 Museum of Natural History, Olomouc, 771 73, Czech Republic

Albert P.:
 Private address, Cormost, 10800, France

Arendt W.J.:
 USDA Forest Service, International Institute of Tropical Forestry, Sabana Field Research Station, PRLuquillo 00773, Puerto Rico

Artemyev A.V.:
 Department of Zoology, Institute of Biology, Karelian Research Center, Russian Academy of Sciences, Petrozavodsk, 185910, Russian Federation

Baglione V.:
 Departamento de Biodiversidad y Gestión Ambiental, Universidad de LeónLeón 24071, Spain

Banbura J.:
 Department of Experimental Zoology and Evolutionary Biology, Faculty of Biology, University of Lódz, Poland

Banbura M.:
 Department of Experimental Zoology and Evolutionary Biology, Faculty of Biology, University of Lódz, Poland

Barba E.:
 "Cavanilles" Institute of Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology, University of ValenciaValencia E46080, Spain

Barrett R.T.:
 Department of Natural Sciences, Tromsø University Museum, Norway

Becker P.H.:
 Institute of Avian Research "Vogelwarte Helgoland", head office Wilhelmshaven, Wilhelmshaven, 26386, Germany

Belskii E.:
 Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Ural Branch, Yekaterinburg, 620144, Russian Federation

Bolton M.:
 Centre for Conservation Science, Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, Aberdeen, AB10 1YP, United Kingdom

Bowers E.K.:
 Department of Biological Sciences, Edward J. Meeman Biological Station, Center for Biodiversity Research, University of Memphis

Bried J.:
 Institute of Marine Sciences - OKEANOS, University of the Azores, Horta, 9901-862, Portugal

 Private address, Biarritz, 64200, France

Brouwer L.:
 Department of Zoology & Ecology, College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia

 Division of Ecology & Evolution Research, School of Biology, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia

Bukacinska M.:
 Department of Environmental Conservation, Institute of Biological Sciences, Cardinal Stefan Wyszynski University of Warsaw, Warsaw, 01-938, Poland

Bukacinski D.:
 Department of Environmental Conservation, Institute of Biological Sciences, Cardinal Stefan Wyszynski University of Warsaw, Warsaw, 01-938, Poland

Bulluck L.:
 Department of Biology and Center for Environmental Studies, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, United Kingdom

Carstens K.F.:
 FitzPatrick Institute of African Ornithology, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, 7701, South Africa

Catry I.:
 Laboratório Associado, Universidade do Porto, Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO) / Research Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology (InBIO), Vairao 4485-601, Portugal

 Laboratório Associado, Instituto Superior de Agronomia, Universidade de Lisboa, Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO) / Research Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology (InBIO)Lisbon 1349-017, Portugal

 BIOPOLIS Program in Genomics, Biodiversity and Land Planning, Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO), Vairao 4485-661, Portugal

Charter M.:
 Shamir Research Institute and Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of HaifaHaifa 3498838, Israel

Chernomorets A.:
 Laboratory of Ornithology, Scientific and Practical Center for Biological Resources of National Academy of Sciences of BelarusMinsk 220072, Belarus

Covas R.:
 FitzPatrick Institute of African Ornithology, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, 7701, South Africa

 Laboratório Associado, Universidade do Porto, Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO) / Research Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology (InBIO), Vairao 4485-601, Portugal

 BIOPOLIS Program in Genomics, Biodiversity and Land Planning, Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO), Vairao 4485-661, Portugal

Czuchra M.:
 Department of Behavioural Ecology, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Wroclaw, Poland

Dearborn D.C.:
 Biology Department, Bates College, Lewiston, United States

 Division of Organisms and Environment, School of Biosciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, CF10 3AX, United Kingdom

de Lope F.:
 Department of Anatomy, Cellular Biology and Zoology, University of Extremadura, Badajoz E-506071, Spain

Di Giacomo A.S.:
 Laboratorio de Biología de la Conservación, Centro de Ecología Aplicada del Litoral, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Tecnológicas (CONICET)Corrientes 3400, Argentina

Dombrovski V.C.:
 Laboratory of Molecular Zoology, National Academy of SciencesMinsk 220072, Belarus

Drummond H.:
 Departamento de Ecología Evolutiva, Instituto de Ecología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad de México 04510, Mexico

Dunn M.J.:
 British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, CB3 0ET, United Kingdom

Eeva T.:
 Department of Biology, University of Turku, Turku, 20014, Finland

Emmerson L.M.:
 Australian Antarctic Division, Department of Agriculture, Water and the Environment, Australia

Espmark Y.:
 Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, 7491, Norway

Fargallo J.A.:
 Department of Evolutionary Ecology, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)Madrid 28006, Spain

Gashkov S.I.:
 Departament of Museum Technologies, Zoology Museum, Tomsk State University, Tomsk, 634050, Russian Federation

Golubova E.Y.:
 Institute of Biological Problems of the North, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Magadan, 685000, Russian Federation

Griesser M.:
 Department of Biology, University of Konstanz, Germany

 Center for the Advanced Study of Collective Behaviour, University of Konstanz, Germany

 Department of Collective Behavior, Max Planck Institute of Animal Behavior, Germany

Harris M.P.:
 UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Penicuik, EH26 0QB, United Kingdom

Hoover J.P.:
 Illinois Natural History Survey, Prairie Research Institute, University of Illinois, Urbana-ChampaignIL 61820

Jagiello Z.:
 Institute of Zoology, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Poznan 60-625, Poland

Karell P.:
 Bioeconomy Research Team, Novia University of Applied Sciences, Raseborg FI, 10600, Finland

 Evolutionary Ecology Unit, Department of Biology, Lund University, Lund SE, 223 62, Sweden

 Novia University of Applied Sciences, Raseborg FI, 10600, Finland

Kloskowski J.:
 Institute of Zoology, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Poznan 60-625, Poland

Koenig W.D.:
 Hastings Reservation, University of California Berkeley, CA, 93924, Italy

 Cornell Lab of Ornithology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14850

Kolunen H.:
 Private address, Finland

Korczak-Abshire M.:
 Institute of Biochemistry and Biophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, 02-106, Poland

Korpimäki E.:
 Department of Biology, University of Turku, Turku, 20014, Finland

Krams I.:
 Department of Zoology and Animal Ecology, Faculty of Biology, University of LatviaRiga 1004, Latvia

 Department of Biotechnology, Daugavpils UniversityDaugavpils 5401, Latvia

 Department of Zoology, Institute of Ecology and Earth Sciences, University of TartuTartu 51010, Estonia

Krist M.:
 Department of Zoology, Faculty of Science, Palacky University, Olomouc, 771 46, Czech Republic

 Museum of Natural History, Olomouc, 771 73, Czech Republic

Krüger S.C.:
 Conservation Services Division, Ezemvelo KwaZulu-Natal WildlifeCascades 3202, South Africa

 School of Life Sciences, Centre for Functional Biodiversity University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, 3201, South Africa

Kuranov B.D.:
 Department of Vertebrate Zoology and Ecology, Tomsk State University, Tomsk, 634050, Russian Federation

Lambin X.:
 School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, AB24 2TZ, United Kingdom

Lombardo M.P.:
 Biology Department, Grand Valley State University, Allendale, United States

Lyakhov A.:
 Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Ural Branch, Yekaterinburg, 620144, Russian Federation

Marzal A.:
 Department of Anatomy, Cellular Biology and Zoology, University of Extremadura, Badajoz E-506071, Spain

Møller A.P.:
 Ecologie Systématique Evolution, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université Paris-Saclay, France

Neves V.C.:
 Institute of Marine Sciences - OKEANOS, University of the Azores, Horta, 9901-862, Portugal

Nielsen J.T.:
 Private address, 9870 Sindal, Denmark

Numerov A.:
 Department of Zoology and Parasitology, Voronezh State University, Voronezh, 394006, Russian Federation

Orlowska B.:
 Ornithological Station, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Wroclaw, Poland

Oro D.:
 Theoretical and Computation Ecology Lab, Centre d'Estudis Acançats de Blanes (CEAB), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Blanes, 17300, Spain

Öst M.:
 Environmental and Marine Biology, Åbo Akademi University, Turku, 20500, Finland

 Novia University of Applied Sciences, Raseborg FI, 10600, Finland

Phillips R.A.:
 British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, CB3 0ET, United Kingdom

Pietiäinen H.:
 Department of Biosciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI, 00014, Finland

Polo V.:
 Department of Biology and Geology, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Móstoles 28933, Spain

Porkert J.:
 Hradec Králové 500 02, Czech Republic

Potti J.:
 Estación Biológica de Donana - CSIC, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Seville, 41092, Spain

Pöysä H.:
 Department of Environmental and Biological Sciences, University of Eastern Finland, Joensuu FI, 80101, Finland

Printemps T.:
 Groupe d'Etudes et de Protection des Busards (GepB), Beurville 52110, France

Prop J.:
 Arctic Centre, University of GroningenGroningen 9718CW, Netherlands

Quillfeldt P.:
 Department of Animal Ecology and Systematics, Justus Liebig University, Giessen, 35392, Germany

Ramos J.A.:
 Department of Life Sciences, Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre (MARE), University of CoimbraCoimbra 3000-456, Portugal

Ravussin P.-A.:
 Private address, CH-1446 Baulmes, Switzerland

Rosenfield R.N.:
 Department of Biology, University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point, Stevens Point

Roulin A.:
 Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Lausanne, Lausanne CH, 1015, Switzerland

Rubenstein D.R.:
 Department of Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Biology, Columbia University, NY, NY 10027, United States

Samusenko I.E.:
 Laboratory of Ornithology, Scientific and Practical Center for Biological Resources of National Academy of Sciences of BelarusMinsk 220072, Belarus

Saunders D.A.:
 Australian Capital Territory, 2614, Australia

Schaub M.:
 School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, AB24 2TZ, United Kingdom

 Division of Conservation Biology, Institute of Ecology and Evolution, University of BernBern CH 3012, Switzerland

Senar J.C.:
 Departament de Vertebrats, Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona, Barcelona, 08003, Spain

Sergio F.:
 Estación Biológica de Donana - CSIC, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Seville, 41092, Spain

Solonen T.:
 Helsinki FI, 00960, Finland

Solovyeva D.V.:
 Institute of Biological Problems of the North, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Magadan, 685000, Russian Federation

Stepniewski J.:
 Osieczna 64-113, Poland

Thompson P.M.:
 School of Biological Sciences, Lighthouse Field Station, University of Aberdeen, Cromarty IV11 8YL, United Kingdom

Tobolka M.:
 Institute of Zoology, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Poznan 60-625, Poland

 Konrad Lorenz Institute of Ethology, University of Veterinary MedicineVienna 1160, Austria

Török J.:
 Department of Systematic Zoology and Ecology, Behavioural Ecology Group, ELTE Eötvös Loránd UniversityBudapest H 1117, Hungary

 Integrative Ecology Research Group, Eötvös Loránd Research Network - Eötvös Loránd University - The Hungarian Natural History MuseumBudapest H 1117, Hungary

van de Pol M.:
 Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Wageningen, 6708PB, Netherlands

 Department of Physical Sciences, College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia

Vernooij L.:
 Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Wageningen, 6708PB, Netherlands

Visser M.E.:
 Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Wageningen, 6708PB, Netherlands

Westneat D.F.:
 Department of Biology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, United States

Wheelwright N.T.:
 Department of Biology, Bowdoin College, Brunswick, United States

Wiacek J.:
 Department of Zoology and Nature Protection, Institute of Biological Sciences, Maria Curie-Sklodowska UniversityLublin 20-033, Poland

Wiebe K.L.:
 Department of Biology, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, S7N 5E2, Canada

Wood A.G.:
 British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, CB3 0ET, United Kingdom

Wuczynski A.:
 Institute of Nature Conservation, Polish Academy of Sciences, Kraków 31-120, Poland

Wysocki D.:
 Department of Vertebrate Zoology and Anthropology, Szczecin University, Szczecin, 71-415, Poland

Zárybnická M.:
 Department of Ecology, Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, 16521, Czech Republic

Margalida A.:
 Institute for Game and Wildlife Research, IREC (CSIC-UCLM-JCCM), Ciudad Real E- 13005, Spain

 Pyrenean Institute of Ecology, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Jaca, 22700, Spain

Halupka K.:
 Department of Behavioural Ecology, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Wroclaw, Poland
ISSN: 00278424
Editorial
NATL ACAD SCIENCES, 2101 CONSTITUTION AVE NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20418 USA, Estados Unidos America
Tipo de documento: Article
Volumen: 120 Número: 19
Páginas:
WOS Id: 001038063500008
ID de PubMed: 37126701
imagen hybrid, Green Published, Green Accepted, All Open Access; Hybrid Gold

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