The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis
Por:
Halupka L., Arlt D., Tolvanen J., Millon A., Bize P., Adamík P., Albert P., Arendt W.J., Artemyev A.V., Baglione V., Banbura J., Banbura M., Barba E., Barrett R.T., Becker P.H., Belskii E., Bolton M., Bowers E.K., Bried J., Brouwer L., Bukacinska M., Bukacinski D., Bulluck L., Carstens K.F., Catry I., Charter M., Chernomorets A., Covas R., Czuchra M., Dearborn D.C., de Lope F., Di Giacomo A.S., Dombrovski V.C., Drummond H., Dunn M.J., Eeva T., Emmerson L.M., Espmark Y., Fargallo J.A., Gashkov S.I., Golubova E.Y., Griesser M., Harris M.P., Hoover J.P., Jagiello Z., Karell P., Kloskowski J., Koenig W.D., Kolunen H., Korczak-Abshire M., Korpimäki E., Krams I., Krist M., Krüger S.C., Kuranov B.D., Lambin X., Lombardo M.P., Lyakhov A., Marzal A., Møller A.P., Neves V.C., Nielsen J.T., Numerov A., Orlowska B., Oro D., Öst M., Phillips R.A., Pietiäinen H., Polo V., Porkert J., Potti J., Pöysä H., Printemps T., Prop J., Quillfeldt P., Ramos J.A., Ravussin P.-A., Rosenfield R.N., Roulin A., Rubenstein D.R., Samusenko I.E., Saunders D.A., Schaub M., Senar J.C., Sergio F., Solonen T., Solovyeva D.V., Stepniewski J., Thompson P.M., Tobolka M., Török J., van de Pol M., Vernooij L., Visser M.E., Westneat D.F., Wheelwright N.T., Wiacek J., Wiebe K.L., Wood A.G., Wuczynski A., Wysocki D., Zárybnická M., Margalida A., Halupka K.
Publicada:
1 ene 2023
Categoría:
Multidisciplinary
Resumen:
Climate change affects timing of reproduction in many bird species, but few studies have investigated its influence on annual reproductive output. Here, we assess changes in the annual production of young by female breeders in 201 populations of 104 bird species (N = 745,962 clutches) covering all continents between 1970 and 2019. Overall, average offspring production has declined in recent decades, but considerable differences were found among species and populations. A total of 56.7% of populations showed a declining trend in offspring production (significant in 17.4%), whereas 43.3% exhibited an increase (significant in 10.4%). The results show that climatic changes affect offspring production through compounded effects on ecological and life history traits of species. Migratory and larger-bodied species experienced reduced offspring production with increasing temperatures during the chick-rearing period, whereas smaller-bodied, sedentary species tended to produce more offspring. Likewise, multi-brooded species showed increased breeding success with increasing temperatures, whereas rising temperatures were unrelated to reproductive success in single-brooded species. Our study suggests that rapid declines in size of bird populations reported by many studies from different parts of the world are driven only to a small degree by changes in the production of young.
Filiaciones:
Halupka L.:
Ornithological Station, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Wroclaw, Poland
Arlt D.:
Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural SciencesUppsala SE 750 07, Sweden
SLU Swedish Species Information Centre, Swedish University of Agricultural SciencesUppsala SE 750 07, Sweden
Tolvanen J.:
Department of Ecology and Genetics, University of Oulu, Oulu, 90014, Finland
Millon A.:
Aix Marseille University, University of Avignon, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD), France
Groupe d'Etudes et de Protection des Busards (GepB), Beurville 52110, France
Bize P.:
Swiss Ornithological Institute, Sempach CH, 6204, Switzerland
Adamík P.:
Department of Zoology, Faculty of Science, Palacky University, Olomouc, 771 46, Czech Republic
Museum of Natural History, Olomouc, 771 73, Czech Republic
Albert P.:
Private address, Cormost, 10800, France
Arendt W.J.:
USDA Forest Service, International Institute of Tropical Forestry, Sabana Field Research Station, PRLuquillo 00773, Puerto Rico
Artemyev A.V.:
Department of Zoology, Institute of Biology, Karelian Research Center, Russian Academy of Sciences, Petrozavodsk, 185910, Russian Federation
Baglione V.:
Departamento de Biodiversidad y Gestión Ambiental, Universidad de LeónLeón 24071, Spain
Banbura J.:
Department of Experimental Zoology and Evolutionary Biology, Faculty of Biology, University of Lódz, Poland
Banbura M.:
Department of Experimental Zoology and Evolutionary Biology, Faculty of Biology, University of Lódz, Poland
Barba E.:
"Cavanilles" Institute of Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology, University of ValenciaValencia E46080, Spain
Barrett R.T.:
Department of Natural Sciences, Tromsø University Museum, Norway
Becker P.H.:
Institute of Avian Research "Vogelwarte Helgoland", head office Wilhelmshaven, Wilhelmshaven, 26386, Germany
Belskii E.:
Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Ural Branch, Yekaterinburg, 620144, Russian Federation
Bolton M.:
Centre for Conservation Science, Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, Aberdeen, AB10 1YP, United Kingdom
Bowers E.K.:
Department of Biological Sciences, Edward J. Meeman Biological Station, Center for Biodiversity Research, University of Memphis
Bried J.:
Institute of Marine Sciences - OKEANOS, University of the Azores, Horta, 9901-862, Portugal
Private address, Biarritz, 64200, France
Brouwer L.:
Department of Zoology & Ecology, College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia
Division of Ecology & Evolution Research, School of Biology, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia
Bukacinska M.:
Department of Environmental Conservation, Institute of Biological Sciences, Cardinal Stefan Wyszynski University of Warsaw, Warsaw, 01-938, Poland
Bukacinski D.:
Department of Environmental Conservation, Institute of Biological Sciences, Cardinal Stefan Wyszynski University of Warsaw, Warsaw, 01-938, Poland
Bulluck L.:
Department of Biology and Center for Environmental Studies, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, United Kingdom
Carstens K.F.:
FitzPatrick Institute of African Ornithology, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, 7701, South Africa
Catry I.:
Laboratório Associado, Universidade do Porto, Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO) / Research Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology (InBIO), Vairao 4485-601, Portugal
Laboratório Associado, Instituto Superior de Agronomia, Universidade de Lisboa, Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO) / Research Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology (InBIO)Lisbon 1349-017, Portugal
BIOPOLIS Program in Genomics, Biodiversity and Land Planning, Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO), Vairao 4485-661, Portugal
Charter M.:
Shamir Research Institute and Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of HaifaHaifa 3498838, Israel
Chernomorets A.:
Laboratory of Ornithology, Scientific and Practical Center for Biological Resources of National Academy of Sciences of BelarusMinsk 220072, Belarus
Covas R.:
FitzPatrick Institute of African Ornithology, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, 7701, South Africa
Laboratório Associado, Universidade do Porto, Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO) / Research Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology (InBIO), Vairao 4485-601, Portugal
BIOPOLIS Program in Genomics, Biodiversity and Land Planning, Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources (CIBIO), Vairao 4485-661, Portugal
Czuchra M.:
Department of Behavioural Ecology, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Wroclaw, Poland
Dearborn D.C.:
Biology Department, Bates College, Lewiston, United States
Division of Organisms and Environment, School of Biosciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, CF10 3AX, United Kingdom
de Lope F.:
Department of Anatomy, Cellular Biology and Zoology, University of Extremadura, Badajoz E-506071, Spain
Di Giacomo A.S.:
Laboratorio de Biología de la Conservación, Centro de Ecología Aplicada del Litoral, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Tecnológicas (CONICET)Corrientes 3400, Argentina
Dombrovski V.C.:
Laboratory of Molecular Zoology, National Academy of SciencesMinsk 220072, Belarus
Drummond H.:
Departamento de Ecología Evolutiva, Instituto de Ecología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad de México 04510, Mexico
Dunn M.J.:
British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, CB3 0ET, United Kingdom
Eeva T.:
Department of Biology, University of Turku, Turku, 20014, Finland
Emmerson L.M.:
Australian Antarctic Division, Department of Agriculture, Water and the Environment, Australia
Espmark Y.:
Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, 7491, Norway
Fargallo J.A.:
Department of Evolutionary Ecology, Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)Madrid 28006, Spain
Gashkov S.I.:
Departament of Museum Technologies, Zoology Museum, Tomsk State University, Tomsk, 634050, Russian Federation
Golubova E.Y.:
Institute of Biological Problems of the North, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Magadan, 685000, Russian Federation
Griesser M.:
Department of Biology, University of Konstanz, Germany
Center for the Advanced Study of Collective Behaviour, University of Konstanz, Germany
Department of Collective Behavior, Max Planck Institute of Animal Behavior, Germany
Harris M.P.:
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Penicuik, EH26 0QB, United Kingdom
Hoover J.P.:
Illinois Natural History Survey, Prairie Research Institute, University of Illinois, Urbana-ChampaignIL 61820
Jagiello Z.:
Institute of Zoology, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Poznan 60-625, Poland
Karell P.:
Bioeconomy Research Team, Novia University of Applied Sciences, Raseborg FI, 10600, Finland
Evolutionary Ecology Unit, Department of Biology, Lund University, Lund SE, 223 62, Sweden
Novia University of Applied Sciences, Raseborg FI, 10600, Finland
Kloskowski J.:
Institute of Zoology, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Poznan 60-625, Poland
Koenig W.D.:
Hastings Reservation, University of California Berkeley, CA, 93924, Italy
Cornell Lab of Ornithology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14850
Kolunen H.:
Private address, Finland
Korczak-Abshire M.:
Institute of Biochemistry and Biophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, 02-106, Poland
Korpimäki E.:
Department of Biology, University of Turku, Turku, 20014, Finland
Krams I.:
Department of Zoology and Animal Ecology, Faculty of Biology, University of LatviaRiga 1004, Latvia
Department of Biotechnology, Daugavpils UniversityDaugavpils 5401, Latvia
Department of Zoology, Institute of Ecology and Earth Sciences, University of TartuTartu 51010, Estonia
Krist M.:
Department of Zoology, Faculty of Science, Palacky University, Olomouc, 771 46, Czech Republic
Museum of Natural History, Olomouc, 771 73, Czech Republic
Krüger S.C.:
Conservation Services Division, Ezemvelo KwaZulu-Natal WildlifeCascades 3202, South Africa
School of Life Sciences, Centre for Functional Biodiversity University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, 3201, South Africa
Kuranov B.D.:
Department of Vertebrate Zoology and Ecology, Tomsk State University, Tomsk, 634050, Russian Federation
Lambin X.:
School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, AB24 2TZ, United Kingdom
Lombardo M.P.:
Biology Department, Grand Valley State University, Allendale, United States
Lyakhov A.:
Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Ural Branch, Yekaterinburg, 620144, Russian Federation
Marzal A.:
Department of Anatomy, Cellular Biology and Zoology, University of Extremadura, Badajoz E-506071, Spain
Møller A.P.:
Ecologie Systématique Evolution, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université Paris-Saclay, France
Neves V.C.:
Institute of Marine Sciences - OKEANOS, University of the Azores, Horta, 9901-862, Portugal
Nielsen J.T.:
Private address, 9870 Sindal, Denmark
Numerov A.:
Department of Zoology and Parasitology, Voronezh State University, Voronezh, 394006, Russian Federation
Orlowska B.:
Ornithological Station, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Wroclaw, Poland
Oro D.:
Theoretical and Computation Ecology Lab, Centre d'Estudis Acançats de Blanes (CEAB), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Blanes, 17300, Spain
Öst M.:
Environmental and Marine Biology, Åbo Akademi University, Turku, 20500, Finland
Novia University of Applied Sciences, Raseborg FI, 10600, Finland
Phillips R.A.:
British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, CB3 0ET, United Kingdom
Pietiäinen H.:
Department of Biosciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI, 00014, Finland
Polo V.:
Department of Biology and Geology, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Móstoles 28933, Spain
Porkert J.:
Hradec Králové 500 02, Czech Republic
Potti J.:
Estación Biológica de Donana - CSIC, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Seville, 41092, Spain
Pöysä H.:
Department of Environmental and Biological Sciences, University of Eastern Finland, Joensuu FI, 80101, Finland
Printemps T.:
Groupe d'Etudes et de Protection des Busards (GepB), Beurville 52110, France
Prop J.:
Arctic Centre, University of GroningenGroningen 9718CW, Netherlands
Quillfeldt P.:
Department of Animal Ecology and Systematics, Justus Liebig University, Giessen, 35392, Germany
Ramos J.A.:
Department of Life Sciences, Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre (MARE), University of CoimbraCoimbra 3000-456, Portugal
Ravussin P.-A.:
Private address, CH-1446 Baulmes, Switzerland
Rosenfield R.N.:
Department of Biology, University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point, Stevens Point
Roulin A.:
Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Lausanne, Lausanne CH, 1015, Switzerland
Rubenstein D.R.:
Department of Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Biology, Columbia University, NY, NY 10027, United States
Samusenko I.E.:
Laboratory of Ornithology, Scientific and Practical Center for Biological Resources of National Academy of Sciences of BelarusMinsk 220072, Belarus
Saunders D.A.:
Australian Capital Territory, 2614, Australia
Schaub M.:
School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, AB24 2TZ, United Kingdom
Division of Conservation Biology, Institute of Ecology and Evolution, University of BernBern CH 3012, Switzerland
Senar J.C.:
Departament de Vertebrats, Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona, Barcelona, 08003, Spain
Sergio F.:
Estación Biológica de Donana - CSIC, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Seville, 41092, Spain
Solonen T.:
Helsinki FI, 00960, Finland
Solovyeva D.V.:
Institute of Biological Problems of the North, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Magadan, 685000, Russian Federation
Stepniewski J.:
Osieczna 64-113, Poland
Thompson P.M.:
School of Biological Sciences, Lighthouse Field Station, University of Aberdeen, Cromarty IV11 8YL, United Kingdom
Tobolka M.:
Institute of Zoology, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Poznan 60-625, Poland
Konrad Lorenz Institute of Ethology, University of Veterinary MedicineVienna 1160, Austria
Török J.:
Department of Systematic Zoology and Ecology, Behavioural Ecology Group, ELTE Eötvös Loránd UniversityBudapest H 1117, Hungary
Integrative Ecology Research Group, Eötvös Loránd Research Network - Eötvös Loránd University - The Hungarian Natural History MuseumBudapest H 1117, Hungary
van de Pol M.:
Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Wageningen, 6708PB, Netherlands
Department of Physical Sciences, College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia
Vernooij L.:
Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Wageningen, 6708PB, Netherlands
Visser M.E.:
Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Wageningen, 6708PB, Netherlands
Westneat D.F.:
Department of Biology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, United States
Wheelwright N.T.:
Department of Biology, Bowdoin College, Brunswick, United States
Wiacek J.:
Department of Zoology and Nature Protection, Institute of Biological Sciences, Maria Curie-Sklodowska UniversityLublin 20-033, Poland
Wiebe K.L.:
Department of Biology, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, S7N 5E2, Canada
Wood A.G.:
British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, CB3 0ET, United Kingdom
Wuczynski A.:
Institute of Nature Conservation, Polish Academy of Sciences, Kraków 31-120, Poland
Wysocki D.:
Department of Vertebrate Zoology and Anthropology, Szczecin University, Szczecin, 71-415, Poland
Zárybnická M.:
Department of Ecology, Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, 16521, Czech Republic
Margalida A.:
Institute for Game and Wildlife Research, IREC (CSIC-UCLM-JCCM), Ciudad Real E- 13005, Spain
Pyrenean Institute of Ecology, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Jaca, 22700, Spain
Halupka K.:
Department of Behavioural Ecology, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Wroclaw, Poland
hybrid, Green Published, Green Accepted, All Open Access; Hybrid Gold
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