Cost Analysis of Seed Conservation of Commercial Pine Species Vulnerable to Climate Change in Mexico
Por:
Rodriguez-Zuniga, Joel, Flores-Ortiz, Cesar M., de Jesus Gonzalez-Guillen, Manuel, Lira-Saade, Rafael, Rodriguez-Arevalo, I, Norma, Davila-Aranda, Patricia D., Ulian, Tiziana
Publicada:
1 abr 2022
Categoría:
Forestry
Resumen:
Mexico is home to 40% of the pine species in the world. By the year
2050, 20% of the Mexican forests could be lost because of climate
change and other human-related activities. In this paper, we determine
the potential areas for seed collecting of four species of the genus
Pinus and its ex situ economic value under different future Climate
Change Scenarios (CCS). The species analyzed were Pinus oocarpa Schiede
ex Schltdl, P. rudis Endl., P. culminicola Andresen et Beaman and P.
leiophylla Schiede ex Schltdl. and Cham which together accounts for 19%
of the timber production in Mexico. Potential areas of distribution of
populations in habitats with Annual Mean Maximum Temperatures (AMMT) for
seed collection were modelled through a Geographic Information System
and climate database. The seed storage economic value was determined by
using the Collection Cost Method. The AMMT of P. oocarpa, P. rudis, P.
culminicola and P. leiophylla were 28 degrees C, 20 degrees C, 18.3
degrees C and 27.4 degrees C, respectively. The economic losses from
shortages of these species due to CCS in 2050, were estimated of 88.5
million (USD) and 67.16 million (USD) with severe and conservative
future CCS, respectively. The nominal investment rate would be 8.84% or
more, for storing seeds of the four species and withstanding climate
change. An ex situ seed bank is a medium and long-term investment; among
its benefits are establishing a market price for the use and
conservation of species in the face of possible adverse scenarios.
Filiaciones:
Rodriguez-Zuniga, Joel:
Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico, Biotechnol & Prototypes Unit UBIPRO, Plant Physiol Lab, FES Iztacala, Tlalnepantla 54090, Estado De Mexic, Mexico
Flores-Ortiz, Cesar M.:
Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico, Biotechnol & Prototypes Unit UBIPRO, Plant Physiol Lab, FES Iztacala, Tlalnepantla 54090, Estado De Mexic, Mexico
Univ Nacl Autconoma Mexico UNAM, Natl Lab Hlth, FES Iztacala, Tlalnepantla 54090, Estado De Mexic, Mexico
de Jesus Gonzalez-Guillen, Manuel:
Colegio Postgraduados COLPOS, Posgrad Ciencias Forestales, Texcoco 56230, Estado De Mexic, Mexico
Lira-Saade, Rafael:
Univ Nacl Autconoma Mexico UNAM, Biotechnol & Prototypes Unit UBIPRO, Nat Resources Lab, FES Iztacala, Tlalnepantla 54090, Estado De Mexic, Mexico
Davila-Aranda, Patricia D.:
Univ Nacl Autconoma Mexico UNAM, Biotechnol & Prototypes Unit UBIPRO, Nat Resources Lab, FES Iztacala, Tlalnepantla 54090, Estado De Mexic, Mexico
Ulian, Tiziana:
Royal Bot Gardens, Haywards Heath RH17 6T, W Sussex, England
gold, All Open Access; Gold
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