The Assessment of Impacts and Risks of Climate Change on Agriculture (AIRCCA) model: a tool for the rapid global risk assessment for crop yields at a spatially explicit scale
Por:
Estrada F., Botzen W.J.W., Calderon-Bustamante O.
Publicada:
1 ene 2020
Resumen:
A main channel through which climate change is expected to affect the economy is the agricultural sector. Large spatial variability in these impacts and high levels of uncertainty in climate change projections create methodological challenges for assessing the consequences this sector could face. Crop emulators based on econometric fixed-effects models that can closely reproduce biophysical models are estimated. With these reduced form crop emulators, we develop AIRCCA, a user-friendly software for the assessment of impacts and risks of climate change on agriculture, that allows stakeholders to make a rapid global assessment of the effects of climate change on maize, wheat and rice yields. AIRCCA produces spatially explicit probabilistic impact scenarios and user-defined risk metrics for the main four Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) emissions scenarios. © 2020 Regional Studies Association.
Filiaciones:
Estrada F.:
Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad Universitaria, Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Botzen W.J.W.:
Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit, Utrecht University School of Economics, USE), University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Calderon-Bustamante O.:
Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad Universitaria, Circuito Exterior, Mexico
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